Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $38K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.5K by 72 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 75% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 65% 36 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 91¢ and No at 9¢, a 91% implied chance of Yes. $38K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
75% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 12 points.
Who holds it
72 wallets hold a position worth $5.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $3.0K on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is cowcat, with $128 on it, $63K lifetime profit over 1,068 markets (68% won).
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $5.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $309
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.2K on it
- 10xc8b9…b83664% won of 552 · whale$3.0K+$371K lifetime
- 2Gamble.and.bankurpt63% won of 208$481−$25K lifetime
- 30x295542613a56F22F0B726B1D26DC4Eaf681e0738-178090330758946% won of 248$415−$1.6K lifetime
- 40x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$302+$36K lifetime
- 5lineth67% won of 662 · whale$175+$91K lifetime
No$309 on it
- 1cowcat68% won of 1,068 · whale$128+$63K lifetime
- 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$34−$485K lifetime
- 3FrankyFourFingers69% won of 264$31−$7.0K lifetime
- 4Bsau458% won of 396 · whale$28+$2.5K lifetime
- 5SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$18−$9.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in TN-05 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?"?
72 wallets hold a position worth $5.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $3.0K on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is cowcat, with $128 on it, $63K lifetime profit over 1,068 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 91¢ and No at 9¢, a 91% implied chance of Yes. $38K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 12 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.