Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the SC-06 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $25K traded all time
- Held now
- $283 by 37 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 46% 24 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 70% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
46% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 19 points. A week ago, No by 24 points.
Who holds it
37 wallets hold a position worth $283 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dr.PNL, with $9 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,294 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is GUINESS123, with $76 on it, $59K lifetime loss over 547 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $30
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $253
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$30 on it
- 1Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$9−$485K lifetime
- 2LornaPredicts28% won of 15,970 · noise$5+$28K lifetime
- 3insidero89% won of 431 · whale$3+$18K lifetime
- 4planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$3+$132K lifetime
- 5warptrading90% won of 216$3−$5.4K lifetime
No$253 on it
- 1GUINESS12370% won of 547$76−$59K lifetime
- 2pd.unique69% won of 340 · whale$49+$7.7K lifetime
- 30x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-17788115023548% won of 33,285 · noise$44+$51K lifetime
- 4mwenya51% won of 1,060 · whale$36+$114K lifetime
- 5SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$32+$48K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in SC-06 House Election Winner
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the SC-06 House seat?"?
37 wallets hold a position worth $283 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dr.PNL, with $9 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,294 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is GUINESS123, with $76 on it, $59K lifetime loss over 547 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the SC-06 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
46% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 19 points. A week ago, No by 24 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.