Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 62 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $51K traded all time
- Held now
- $25K by 116 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 23% 69 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 86% 47 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 63¢ and No at 38¢, a 63% implied chance of Yes. $51K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
23% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 62 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 68 points. A week ago, No by 64 points.
Who holds it
116 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 116 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $5.5K on it, $48K lifetime loss over 49,094 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $1.7K on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $19K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $6.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$19K on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,094$5.5K−$48K lifetime
- 2Gaditima49% won of 12,105$3.8K−$433K lifetime
- 3trulyalya167% won of 218 · whale$1.0K+$19K lifetime
- 4sbimbg84% won of 1,403 · whale$805+$115K lifetime
- 5ABC1234565432148% won of 5,905$761−$1.2K lifetime
No$6.3K on it
- 10xc8b9…b83664% won of 552 · whale$1.7K+$371K lifetime
- 2tunatyler56% won of 1,038 · whale$1.3K+$266K lifetime
- 3SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$814+$48K lifetime
- 4G.Hchen44% won of 239 · noise$787+$22K lifetime
- 574-7541% won of 94$309−$2.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in SC-01 House Election Winner
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?"?
116 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 116 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $5.5K on it, $48K lifetime loss over 49,094 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $1.7K on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 63¢ and No at 38¢, a 63% implied chance of Yes. $51K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
23% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 62 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 68 points. A week ago, No by 64 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.