Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the RI-01 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $31K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.1K by 24 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 15% 11 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 20% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
15% of the money on Yes and 20% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 14 points.
Who holds it
24 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 24 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $19 on it, $434K lifetime loss over 12,111 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $487 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,637 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $50
- Holders' win rate
- 38%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$50 on it
- 1Gaditima49% won of 12,111$19−$434K lifetime
- 2Digital-Boy16% won of 2,232$11−$78K lifetime
- 3Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$10−$485K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$2+$254K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,970 · noise$2+$28K lifetime
No$1.1K on it
- 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$487−$8.2K lifetime
- 2DuneMentat74% won of 841$133−$12K lifetime
- 3Cornishon42% won of 285$121−$767 lifetime
- 4donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$59+$829K lifetime
- 5potapbroski94% won of 18$58+$10 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in RI-01 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the RI-01 House seat?"?
24 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 24 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $19 on it, $434K lifetime loss over 12,111 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $487 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,637 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the RI-01 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
15% of the money on Yes and 20% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.