Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat?”?

Politics$23K traded35 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
96%Yes
4%No

Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.

Volume
$23K
traded all time
Held now
$3.1K
by 35 wallets
Smart share · Yes
-
10 scored holders
Smart share · No
-
25 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

Who holds it

35 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 35 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-1730491999430, with $1.8K on it, $12K lifetime profit over 129 markets (99% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $24 on it, $133K lifetime profit over 10,233 markets (43% won).

Yes96%
Smart money share-
Holders
10
Money on it
$3.0K
Holders' win rate
79%
No4%
Smart money share-
Holders
25
Money on it
$83
Holders' win rate
38%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$3.0K on it

  1. 10x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-173049199943099% won of 129 · balanced$1.8K+$12K lifetime
  2. 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$1.2K+$48K lifetime
  3. 3LornaPredicts28% won of 16,204 · noise$48+$28K lifetime
  4. 4Vollhorst69% won of 209$10−$279 lifetime
  5. 5xujimatrix98% won of 282$9+$41 lifetime

No$83 on it

  1. 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 10,233 · whale$24+$133K lifetime
  2. 2Oklmntrader13% won of 577$16−$173K lifetime
  3. 3FrankyFourFingers69% won of 264$9−$7.0K lifetime
  4. 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 124,469 · noise$7+$258K lifetime
  5. 5ma9940% won of 426 · noise$4+$2.2K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat?"?

35 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 35 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-1730491999430, with $1.8K on it, $12K lifetime profit over 129 markets (99% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $24 on it, $133K lifetime profit over 10,233 markets (43% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.