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Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat?”?

Politics$13K traded50 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
14%Yes
87%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 53% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$13K
traded all time
Held now
$2.1K
by 50 wallets
Smart share · Yes
35%
29 scored holders
Smart share · No
53%
21 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

35% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points.

Who holds it

50 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $139 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $825 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).

Yes14%
Smart money share35% ▲ 2 pts in 24 h
a day ago 33%now 35%
Holders
29
Money on it
$471
Holders' win rate
55%
No87%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share53% ▲ 2 pts in 24 h
a day ago 52%now 53%
Holders
21
Money on it
$1.6K
Holders' win rate
57%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$471 on it

  1. 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$139−$4.7M lifetime
  2. 2cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$49+$72K lifetime
  3. 3resfeber42% won of 1,608$40−$10K lifetime
  4. 40x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$39+$129K lifetime
  5. 5Poivre26% won of 357 · noise$31+$2.8K lifetime

No$1.6K on it

  1. 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$825+$48K lifetime
  2. 2macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$391−$8.2K lifetime
  3. 3purplegatto73% won of 3,511$211−$1.9M lifetime
  4. 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$56−$378K lifetime
  5. 5richyee18% won of 5,050$43−$19K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat?"?

50 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $139 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $825 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

35% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.