Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the PA-03 House seat?”?

Politics$14K traded15 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated November 2, 2026
2%Yes
98%No

Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.

Volume
$14K
traded all time
Held now
$1.4K
by 15 wallets
Smart share · Yes
-
11 scored holders
Smart share · No
-
4 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

Who holds it

15 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 15 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $20 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,148 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is 123905, with $1.2K on it, $7.0K lifetime profit over 5 markets (100% won).

Yes2%
Smart money share-
Holders
11
Money on it
$34
Holders' win rate
44%
No98%
Smart money share-
Holders
4
Money on it
$1.4K
Holders' win rate
90%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$34 on it

  1. 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,148 · whale$20+$48K lifetime
  2. 2Dr.PNL28% won of 19,750$6−$488K lifetime
  3. 3Oklmntrader13% won of 611$3−$173K lifetime
  4. 4perepuk47% won of 260$1−$9.9K lifetime
  5. 5LornaPredicts28% won of 19,814 · noise$1+$28K lifetime

No$1.4K on it

  1. 1123905100% won of 5$1.2K+$7.0K lifetime
  2. 20x9dd9…08bd16% won of 743 · noise$146+$36K lifetime
  3. 3macrosteaks64% won of 2,782$48−$7.9K lifetime
  4. 4Haradwaith50% won of 60,779$0−$381K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

More markets in PA-03 House Election Winner

1 more
Who's betting on PA-03 House Election Winner →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the PA-03 House seat?"?

15 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 15 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $20 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,148 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is 123905, with $1.2K on it, $7.0K lifetime profit over 5 markets (100% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the PA-03 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.