Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.8K by 38 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 62% 21 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 86% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 85¢ and No at 15¢, an 85% implied chance of Yes. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
62% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.
Who holds it
38 wallets hold a position worth $3.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them. The largest Yes holder is cowcat, with $539 on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $112 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $3.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $252
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.6K on it
- 1cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$539+$72K lifetime
- 2Magician534287% won of 351 · grinder$452+$1.8K lifetime
- 3Gaditima49% won of 12,107$425−$432K lifetime
- 40x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$424+$127K lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 49,197$383−$49K lifetime
No$252 on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$112+$48K lifetime
- 2BASSATS0152% won of 322 · whale$38+$1.8K lifetime
- 3windscreenwipers96% won of 538 · whale$30+$5.5K lifetime
- 40x47939a2c7cE2Cfb3Ed6ac86dc346fcBe42841d39-173768682126743% won of 204$17−$163 lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$17+$255K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in OK-05 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?"?
38 wallets hold a position worth $3.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them. The largest Yes holder is cowcat, with $539 on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $112 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 85¢ and No at 15¢, an 85% implied chance of Yes. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
62% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.