Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 80% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 58 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $44K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.5K by 26 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 16 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 22% 10 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $44K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 22% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 58 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 58 points. A week ago, Yes by 59 points.
Who holds it
26 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them. The largest Yes holder is thoodr, with $1.4K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 830 markets (96% won). The largest No holder is Oklmntrader, with $40 on it, $173K lifetime loss over 577 markets (13% won).
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $89
- Holders' win rate
- 25%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.4K on it
- 1thoodr96% won of 830 · whale$1.4K+$100K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$307+$127K lifetime
- 3macrosteaks64% won of 2,609$288−$7.8K lifetime
- 4FrankyFourFingers69% won of 264$85−$7.0K lifetime
- 5SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$73+$48K lifetime
No$89 on it
- 1Oklmntrader13% won of 577$40−$173K lifetime
- 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$28−$485K lifetime
- 3BASSATS0152% won of 322 · whale$8+$1.8K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$6+$255K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$5+$27K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in OH-05 House Election Winner
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat?"?
26 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them. The largest Yes holder is thoodr, with $1.4K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 830 markets (96% won). The largest No holder is Oklmntrader, with $40 on it, $173K lifetime loss over 577 markets (13% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $44K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 22% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 58 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 58 points. A week ago, Yes by 59 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.