Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the NY-16 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 78% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 30 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $114 by 16 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 78% 14 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 48% 2 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
78% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points. A week ago, Yes by 28 points.
Who holds it
16 wallets hold a position worth $114 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 16 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $5 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,322 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is FrankyFourFingers, with $48 on it, $7.0K lifetime loss over 264 markets (69% won).
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $22
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
- Holders
- 2
- Money on it
- $92
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$22 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,322 · noise$5+$254K lifetime
- 2animal.bean83% won of 807$3−$7.8K lifetime
- 3Biver5228% won of 360 · noise$3+$6.4K lifetime
- 4BSS3728% won of 337 · noise$3+$7.9K lifetime
- 5PolyArbi42% won of 292 · noise$2+$92 lifetime
No$92 on it
- 1FrankyFourFingers69% won of 264$48−$7.0K lifetime
- 2immanuelcan78% won of 1,011 · whale$44+$39K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in NY-16 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the NY-16 House seat?"?
16 wallets hold a position worth $114 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 16 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $5 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,322 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is FrankyFourFingers, with $48 on it, $7.0K lifetime loss over 264 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the NY-16 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
78% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points. A week ago, Yes by 28 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.