Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the NY-14 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $33K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.3K by 30 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 95% 14 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 99% 16 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $33K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
95% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
30 wallets hold a position worth $7.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 30 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $105 on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is MrNoItAll, with $4.7K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 514 markets (90% won).
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $122
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $7.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$122 on it
- 1ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$105+$2.3M lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,171 · noise$3+$254K lifetime
- 3Dr.PNL30% won of 15,234$3−$485K lifetime
- 4BSS3728% won of 337 · noise$2+$7.9K lifetime
- 5thecaricature44% won of 717$2−$7.9K lifetime
No$7.2K on it
- 1MrNoItAll90% won of 514 · whale$4.7K+$38K lifetime
- 2TylerTurden89% won of 940 · whale$1.2K+$173K lifetime
- 3zzzx281% won of 946 · whale$474+$20K lifetime
- 40x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$338+$36K lifetime
- 5DorkiPorki92% won of 208 · balanced$124+$2.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in NY-14 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the NY-14 House seat?"?
30 wallets hold a position worth $7.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 30 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $105 on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is MrNoItAll, with $4.7K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 514 markets (90% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the NY-14 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $33K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
95% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.