Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the NY-13 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 78% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 20 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $902 by 22 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 78% 12 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 59% 10 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
78% of the money on Yes and 59% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 28 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
Who holds it
22 wallets hold a position worth $902 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 22 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $5 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,242 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is rocky42016, with $240 on it, $8.0K lifetime loss over 688 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $17
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $885
- Holders' win rate
- 41%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$17 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$5+$255K lifetime
- 2thecaricature44% won of 717$3−$7.9K lifetime
- 3BSS3728% won of 337 · noise$3+$7.9K lifetime
- 4planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$2+$132K lifetime
- 5Biver5228% won of 360 · noise$1+$6.4K lifetime
No$885 on it
- 1rocky4201653% won of 688$240−$8.0K lifetime
- 20x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$192+$36K lifetime
- 3dcog42% won of 12$148+$23 lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,197$99−$49K lifetime
- 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$79+$127K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in NY-13 House Election Winner
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the NY-13 House seat?"?
22 wallets hold a position worth $902 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 22 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $5 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,242 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is rocky42016, with $240 on it, $8.0K lifetime loss over 688 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the NY-13 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
78% of the money on Yes and 59% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 28 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.