Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 47 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $39K traded all time
- Held now
- $31K by 26 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 99% 16 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 51% 10 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
99% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 47 points. A week ago, Yes by 47 points.
Who holds it
26 wallets hold a position worth $31K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $488 on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is byu5, with $15K on it, $52 lifetime profit.
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $620
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $30K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$620 on it
- 1ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$488+$2.3M lifetime
- 2UntitledUser176% won of 541 · whale$108+$1.6K lifetime
- 3Nadmi35% won of 1,251 · noise$8+$154K lifetime
- 40x9297B98bcB410BE9E4DEde790c5DC2B16E49358B-178127707421541% won of 221$3−$540 lifetime
- 5Biver5228% won of 360 · noise$2+$6.4K lifetime
No$30K on it
- 1byu5no record yet$15K+$52 lifetime
- 2purplegatto73% won of 3,511$13K−$1.9M lifetime
- 3resfeber42% won of 1,608$1.5K−$10K lifetime
- 40x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$165+$129K lifetime
- 5macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$46−$8.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in NJ-08 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat?"?
26 wallets hold a position worth $31K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $488 on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is byu5, with $15K on it, $52 lifetime profit.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
99% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 47 points. A week ago, Yes by 47 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.