Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 51 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $67K traded all time
- Held now
- $23K by 112 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 33% 66 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 85% 45 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 71¢ and No at 30¢, a 71% implied chance of Yes. $67K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
33% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 50 points. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.
Who holds it
112 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 111 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x1cbd…69c8, with $4.4K on it. The largest No holder is AlphaBetaGamma2357, with $1.6K on it, $85K lifetime profit over 253 markets (50% won).
- Holders
- 67
- Money on it
- $20K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$20K on it
- 10x1cbd…69c8no record yet$4.4K
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,228$3.4K−$49K lifetime
- 3macrosteaks64% won of 2,614$1.8K−$8.2K lifetime
- 4Gaditima49% won of 12,108$1.6K−$432K lifetime
- 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$1.5K+$127K lifetime
No$2.5K on it
- 1AlphaBetaGamma235750% won of 253 · whale$1.6K+$85K lifetime
- 2rocky4200552% won of 953$254−$4.3K lifetime
- 3pieped59% won of 206 · whale$125+$15K lifetime
- 4Wolfer100% won of 15$87+$76 lifetime
- 5windscreenwipers96% won of 539 · whale$74+$5.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in NJ-02 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?"?
112 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 111 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x1cbd…69c8, with $4.4K on it. The largest No holder is AlphaBetaGamma2357, with $1.6K on it, $85K lifetime profit over 253 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 71¢ and No at 30¢, a 71% implied chance of Yes. $67K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
33% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 50 points. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.