Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the NH-01 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.0K by 31 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 62% 17 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 62% 14 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
62% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
Who holds it
31 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 31 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $32 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is Seutervoinen, with $772 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 525 markets (82% won).
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $107
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$107 on it
- 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$32+$127K lifetime
- 2Gaditima49% won of 12,109$14−$433K lifetime
- 3COCOA52% won of 161 · balanced$13+$4.0K lifetime
- 4Nadmi35% won of 1,251 · noise$13+$154K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$12−$377K lifetime
No$1.9K on it
- 1Seutervoinen82% won of 525 · whale$772+$127K lifetime
- 2Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$540−$59K lifetime
- 3donthackme29% won of 87,062 · noise$222+$829K lifetime
- 4SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$193+$48K lifetime
- 5tsnycpm178% won of 255$121−$1.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in NH-01 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the NH-01 House seat?"?
31 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 31 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $32 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is Seutervoinen, with $772 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 525 markets (82% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the NH-01 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
62% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.