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Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?”?

Politics$88K traded130 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
64%Yes
37%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 47% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$88K
traded all time
Held now
$28K
by 130 wallets
Smart share · Yes
30%
86 scored holders
Smart share · No
47%
43 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 64¢ and No at 37¢, a 64% implied chance of Yes. $88K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

30% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 13 points.

Who holds it

130 wallets hold a position worth $28K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 129 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $7.7K on it, $433K lifetime loss over 12,105 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is 0x955c…990f, with $1.3K on it, $147K lifetime loss over 587 markets (76% won).

Yes64%
Smart money share30% ▲ 1 pts in 24 h
a day ago 29%now 30%
Holders
87
Money on it
$25K
Holders' win rate
52%
No37%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share47% ▲ 6 pts in 24 h
a day ago 41%now 47%
Holders
43
Money on it
$3.2K
Holders' win rate
74%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$25K on it

  1. 1Gaditima49% won of 12,105$7.7K−$433K lifetime
  2. 2cigarettes46% won of 49,094$5.9K−$48K lifetime
  3. 3YellowSnake49% won of 251 · balanced$1.2K+$11K lifetime
  4. 4trulyalya167% won of 218 · whale$992+$19K lifetime
  5. 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$945+$127K lifetime

No$3.2K on it

  1. 10x955c…990f76% won of 587$1.3K−$147K lifetime
  2. 2Gmoney1695% won of 22 · balanced$540+$13K lifetime
  3. 3WhoseHouseRamsHouse96% won of 914$416−$26K lifetime
  4. 4Chungvicular45% won of 201 · noise$305+$35K lifetime
  5. 5SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$285+$48K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?"?

130 wallets hold a position worth $28K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 129 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $7.7K on it, $433K lifetime loss over 12,105 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is 0x955c…990f, with $1.3K on it, $147K lifetime loss over 587 markets (76% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 64¢ and No at 37¢, a 64% implied chance of Yes. $88K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

30% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 13 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.