Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the NC-02 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 58% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 21 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $665 by 15 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 58% 13 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 37% 2 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
58% of the money on Yes and 37% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 21 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.
Who holds it
15 wallets hold a position worth $665 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 15 of them. The largest Yes holder is planktonXD, with $4 on it, $132K lifetime profit over 6,321 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is Grinder123, with $416 on it, $61K lifetime loss over 207 markets (39% won).
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $8
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 2
- Money on it
- $657
- Holders' win rate
- 30%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$8 on it
- 1planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$4+$132K lifetime
- 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$2−$485K lifetime
- 3Numitus199449% won of 15,786$0−$28K lifetime
- 4thecaricature44% won of 717$0−$7.9K lifetime
- 5PPMT70% won of 56,842 · whale$0+$16K lifetime
No$657 on it
- 1Grinder12339% won of 207$416−$61K lifetime
- 20x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$242+$36K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in NC-02 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the NC-02 House seat?"?
15 wallets hold a position worth $665 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 15 of them. The largest Yes holder is planktonXD, with $4 on it, $132K lifetime profit over 6,321 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is Grinder123, with $416 on it, $61K lifetime loss over 207 markets (39% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the NC-02 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
58% of the money on Yes and 37% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 21 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.