Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 71 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $21K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.6K by 67 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 16% 26 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 87% 41 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
16% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 71 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 72 points. A week ago, No by 73 points.
Who holds it
67 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $427 on it, $432K lifetime loss over 12,107 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $1.1K on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $4.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.6K on it
- 1Gaditima49% won of 12,107$427−$432K lifetime
- 2whispercatalyst49% won of 2,921$297−$6.0K lifetime
- 3GUINESS12370% won of 547$274−$59K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,197$164−$49K lifetime
- 5HowBoutThemCowboys89% won of 18$119+$75K lifetime
No$4.0K on it
- 10xc8b9…b83664% won of 552 · whale$1.1K+$371K lifetime
- 2G.Hchen44% won of 239 · noise$747+$22K lifetime
- 3Contestable-Parfait61% won of 345 · whale$449+$173K lifetime
- 4BobbyBakedBeans42% won of 4,648 · whale$436+$25K lifetime
- 5Dondigidin75% won of 465 · whale$415+$8.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in NC-01 House Election Winner
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?"?
67 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $427 on it, $432K lifetime loss over 12,107 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $1.1K on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
16% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 71 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 72 points. A week ago, No by 73 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.