Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 30 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $51K traded all time
- Held now
- $13K by 91 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 52% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 82% 54 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 63¢ and No at 38¢, a 63% implied chance of Yes. $51K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
52% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, Yes by 12 points.
Who holds it
91 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 91 of them. The largest Yes holder is cowcat, with $3.4K on it, $63K lifetime profit over 1,068 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is 0x225b7c9Aaf6108deD29b9fdA9939aA671Ef6422A-1756591558414, with $750 on it, $20K lifetime profit over 213 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $10.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 54
- Money on it
- $2.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$10.0K on it
- 1cowcat68% won of 1,068 · whale$3.4K+$63K lifetime
- 2Gaditima49% won of 12,085$2.5K−$431K lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$925+$127K lifetime
- 4GUINESS12370% won of 547$483−$59K lifetime
- 5whispercatalyst49% won of 2,912$343−$5.8K lifetime
No$2.8K on it
- 10x225b7c9Aaf6108deD29b9fdA9939aA671Ef6422A-175659155841464% won of 213 · whale$750+$20K lifetime
- 2anoin12359% won of 1,608$302−$4.7M lifetime
- 3tunatyler56% won of 1,038 · whale$286+$266K lifetime
- 4G.Hchen44% won of 239 · noise$263+$22K lifetime
- 5twinna52% won of 212 · whale$193+$69K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in MO-02 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?"?
91 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 91 of them. The largest Yes holder is cowcat, with $3.4K on it, $63K lifetime profit over 1,068 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is 0x225b7c9Aaf6108deD29b9fdA9939aA671Ef6422A-1756591558414, with $750 on it, $20K lifetime profit over 213 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 63¢ and No at 38¢, a 63% implied chance of Yes. $51K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
52% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, Yes by 12 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.