Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $33K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.8K by 58 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 35% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 34% 27 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $33K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
35% of the money on Yes and 34% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
58 wallets hold a position worth $5.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is macrosteaks, with $2.0K on it, $7.8K lifetime loss over 2,609 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $34 on it, $377K lifetime loss over 53,968 markets (50% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $183 on Yes.
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $5.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Snipers
- 1 · $183
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $141
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.6K on it
- 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,609$2.0K−$7.8K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$766+$127K lifetime
- 30x295542613a56F22F0B726B1D26DC4Eaf681e0738-178090330758946% won of 248$762−$1.6K lifetime
- 4lineth67% won of 662 · whale$550+$91K lifetime
- 5IOrizen73% won of 200$345−$4.2K lifetime
No$141 on it
- 1Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$34−$377K lifetime
- 212398745644% won of 2,418 · whale$33+$51K lifetime
- 30x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$32−$8.4K lifetime
- 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$15−$485K lifetime
- 55atka60% won of 228 · whale$7+$9.9K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in MN-06 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?"?
58 wallets hold a position worth $5.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is macrosteaks, with $2.0K on it, $7.8K lifetime loss over 2,609 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $34 on it, $377K lifetime loss over 53,968 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $33K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
35% of the money on Yes and 34% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.