Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the MI-11 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $23K traded all time
- Held now
- $800 by 26 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 93% 17 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 9 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
93% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
26 wallets hold a position worth $800 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $28 on it, $335K lifetime profit over 12,163 markets (23% won). The largest No holder is Anjun, with $541 on it, $801K lifetime profit over 1,886 markets (67% won).
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $65
- Holders' win rate
- 39%
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $735
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$65 on it
- 10xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$28+$335K lifetime
- 2cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$9+$72K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,967 · noise$8+$28K lifetime
- 4planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$6+$132K lifetime
- 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$4+$129K lifetime
No$735 on it
- 1Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$541+$801K lifetime
- 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$97+$48K lifetime
- 3noureddinalakshmi88% won of 34 · balanced$51+$817 lifetime
- 4mlplarper97% won of 35$26−$4 lifetime
- 5davhcc86% won of 133$12−$135 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in MI-11 House Election Winner
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the MI-11 House seat?"?
26 wallets hold a position worth $800 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $28 on it, $335K lifetime profit over 12,163 markets (23% won). The largest No holder is Anjun, with $541 on it, $801K lifetime profit over 1,886 markets (67% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the MI-11 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
93% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.