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Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?”?

Politics$20K traded63 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated November 2, 2026
26%Yes
74%No

Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.

Volume
$20K
traded all time
Held now
$5.1K
by 63 wallets
Smart share · Yes
-
37 scored holders
Smart share · No
-
26 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 26¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

Who holds it

63 wallets hold a position worth $5.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 63 of them. The largest Yes holder is deuxgaules, with $455 on it, $2.7K lifetime loss over 251 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is Gaditima, with $1.5K on it, $434K lifetime loss over 13,104 markets (50% won).

Yes26%
Smart money share-
Holders
37
Money on it
$1.7K
Holders' win rate
69%
No74%
Smart money share-
Holders
26
Money on it
$3.4K
Holders' win rate
49%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.7K on it

  1. 1deuxgaules81% won of 251$455−$2.7K lifetime
  2. 2sbimbg84% won of 1,474 · whale$332+$124K lifetime
  3. 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 14,262 · whale$266+$135K lifetime
  4. 4JJo68% won of 1,103 · whale$171+$280K lifetime
  5. 5macrosteaks64% won of 2,782$84−$7.9K lifetime

No$3.4K on it

  1. 1Gaditima50% won of 13,104$1.5K−$434K lifetime
  2. 2resfeber42% won of 1,663$738−$10K lifetime
  3. 3Haradwaith50% won of 60,779$460−$381K lifetime
  4. 4lpgb47% won of 7,469 · whale$237+$132K lifetime
  5. 5Echelonprt83% won of 210$145−$35K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?"?

63 wallets hold a position worth $5.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 63 of them. The largest Yes holder is deuxgaules, with $455 on it, $2.7K lifetime loss over 251 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is Gaditima, with $1.5K on it, $434K lifetime loss over 13,104 markets (50% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 26¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.