
Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.1K by 63 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 26¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
63 wallets hold a position worth $5.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 63 of them. The largest Yes holder is deuxgaules, with $455 on it, $2.7K lifetime loss over 251 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is Gaditima, with $1.5K on it, $434K lifetime loss over 13,104 markets (50% won).
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $3.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.7K on it
- 1deuxgaules81% won of 251$455−$2.7K lifetime
- 2sbimbg84% won of 1,474 · whale$332+$124K lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 14,262 · whale$266+$135K lifetime
- 4JJo68% won of 1,103 · whale$171+$280K lifetime
- 5macrosteaks64% won of 2,782$84−$7.9K lifetime
No$3.4K on it
- 1Gaditima50% won of 13,104$1.5K−$434K lifetime
- 2resfeber42% won of 1,663$738−$10K lifetime
- 3Haradwaith50% won of 60,779$460−$381K lifetime
- 4lpgb47% won of 7,469 · whale$237+$132K lifetime
- 5Echelonprt83% won of 210$145−$35K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in MI-10 House Election Winner
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$46M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?"?
63 wallets hold a position worth $5.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 63 of them. The largest Yes holder is deuxgaules, with $455 on it, $2.7K lifetime loss over 251 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is Gaditima, with $1.5K on it, $434K lifetime loss over 13,104 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 26¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.