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Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?”?

Politics$26K traded90 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
27%Yes
74%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 68% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$26K
traded all time
Held now
$3.2K
by 90 wallets
Smart share · Yes
30%
52 scored holders
Smart share · No
68%
38 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $26K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

30% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.

Who holds it

90 wallets hold a position worth $3.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $825 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is lineth, with $329 on it, $91K lifetime profit over 662 markets (67% won).

Yes27%
Smart money share30%
7 days ago 28%a day ago 30%now 30%
Holders
52
Money on it
$1.9K
Holders' win rate
54%
No74%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share68% ▲ 4 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 58%a day ago 63%now 68%
Holders
38
Money on it
$1.3K
Holders' win rate
60%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.9K on it

  1. 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$825−$4.7M lifetime
  2. 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$263+$127K lifetime
  3. 3cigarettes46% won of 49,197$161−$49K lifetime
  4. 4SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$143+$48K lifetime
  5. 5ABC1234565432148% won of 5,905$104−$1.2K lifetime

No$1.3K on it

  1. 1lineth67% won of 662 · whale$329+$91K lifetime
  2. 2t0000000038% won of 239$122−$94K lifetime
  3. 30x295542613a56F22F0B726B1D26DC4Eaf681e0738-178090330758946% won of 248$114−$1.6K lifetime
  4. 4printer-go-brrr98% won of 131 · balanced$88+$490 lifetime
  5. 5donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$84+$829K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?"?

90 wallets hold a position worth $3.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $825 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is lineth, with $329 on it, $91K lifetime profit over 662 markets (67% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $26K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

30% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.