Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the MD-02 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $535 by 15 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 87% 9 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 98% 6 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
87% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 11 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
Who holds it
15 wallets hold a position worth $535 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 15 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $7 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is K00ldr4g0n, with $188 on it, $134K lifetime profit over 608 markets (42% won).
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $22
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $512
- Holders' win rate
- 37%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$22 on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$7+$48K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$5+$255K lifetime
- 3ma9940% won of 426 · noise$3+$2.2K lifetime
- 4BSS3728% won of 337 · noise$3+$7.9K lifetime
- 5thecaricature44% won of 717$3−$7.9K lifetime
No$512 on it
- 1K00ldr4g0n42% won of 608 · noise$188+$134K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$135+$127K lifetime
- 30x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$129+$36K lifetime
- 4anciano49% won of 1,299 · whale$46+$37K lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 49,197$8−$49K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in MD-02 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the MD-02 House seat?"?
15 wallets hold a position worth $535 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 15 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $7 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is K00ldr4g0n, with $188 on it, $134K lifetime profit over 608 markets (42% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the MD-02 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 11 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.