Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $44K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 69 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 91% 25 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 83¢ and No at 18¢, an 83% implied chance of Yes. $44K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
Who holds it
69 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 69 of them. The largest Yes holder is Seutervoinen, with $6.6K on it, $127K lifetime profit over 525 markets (82% won). The largest No holder is donthackme, with $255 on it, $829K lifetime profit over 87,178 markets (29% won).
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $455
- Holders' win rate
- 40%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$11K on it
- 1Seutervoinen82% won of 525 · whale$6.6K+$127K lifetime
- 2macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$833−$8.2K lifetime
- 3arbdiscovery69% won of 39 · balanced$695+$542 lifetime
- 4Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$633−$59K lifetime
- 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$545+$129K lifetime
No$455 on it
- 1donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$255+$829K lifetime
- 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$100+$48K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,324 · noise$34+$254K lifetime
- 4cryptoqan0n74% won of 5,783$28−$7.7K lifetime
- 5BASSATS0152% won of 322 · whale$11+$1.8K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in MD-01 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?"?
69 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 69 of them. The largest Yes holder is Seutervoinen, with $6.6K on it, $127K lifetime profit over 525 markets (82% won). The largest No holder is donthackme, with $255 on it, $829K lifetime profit over 87,178 markets (29% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 83¢ and No at 18¢, an 83% implied chance of Yes. $44K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.