Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the MA-05 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 80% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $130 by 24 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 20 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 53% 4 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 27 points. A week ago, Yes by 30 points.
Who holds it
24 wallets hold a position worth $130 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 24 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $4 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is MarioLu, with $61 on it, $2.9K lifetime profit over 200 markets (49% won).
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $14
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 4
- Money on it
- $116
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$14 on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$4+$48K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$1+$255K lifetime
- 3ma9940% won of 426 · noise$1+$2.2K lifetime
- 4planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$1+$132K lifetime
- 5garbagecollect164% won of 4,657 · whale$1+$6.0K lifetime
No$116 on it
- 1MarioLu49% won of 200 · balanced$61+$2.9K lifetime
- 2GUINESS12370% won of 547$35−$59K lifetime
- 3macrosteaks64% won of 2,614$20−$8.2K lifetime
- 4sebelmaestro0% won of 446$0−$8.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in MA-05 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the MA-05 House seat?"?
24 wallets hold a position worth $130 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 24 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $4 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is MarioLu, with $61 on it, $2.9K lifetime profit over 200 markets (49% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the MA-05 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 53% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 27 points. A week ago, Yes by 30 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.