Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the MA-03 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $691 by 21 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 100% 17 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 4 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
100% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
21 wallets hold a position worth $691 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 21 of them. The largest Yes holder is planktonXD, with $9 on it, $132K lifetime profit over 6,321 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is cowcat, with $256 on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won).
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $23
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Holders
- 4
- Money on it
- $668
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$23 on it
- 1planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$9+$132K lifetime
- 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$3+$48K lifetime
- 3b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.98% won of 3,389 · whale$2+$22K lifetime
- 4ma9940% won of 426 · noise$2+$2.2K lifetime
- 5BSS3728% won of 337 · noise$2+$7.9K lifetime
No$668 on it
- 1cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$256+$72K lifetime
- 2K00ldr4g0n42% won of 611 · noise$215+$134K lifetime
- 30x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$197+$36K lifetime
- 4sebelmaestro0% won of 446$0−$8.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in MA-03 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the MA-03 House seat?"?
21 wallets hold a position worth $691 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 21 of them. The largest Yes holder is planktonXD, with $9 on it, $132K lifetime profit over 6,321 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is cowcat, with $256 on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the MA-03 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
100% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.