Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.6K by 24 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 48% 12 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 50% 12 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
48% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
24 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 24 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $1.2K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is GayPride, with $25 on it, $655K lifetime profit over 674 markets (80% won).
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $2.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $61
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.6K on it
- 1ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$1.2K+$2.3M lifetime
- 2macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$646−$8.2K lifetime
- 3Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$293−$59K lifetime
- 4rhinogiraffe54% won of 300$263−$55 lifetime
- 5KunteynirTechnique99% won of 67$49−$23 lifetime
No$61 on it
- 1GayPride80% won of 674 · whale$25+$655K lifetime
- 2Oklmntrader13% won of 577$15−$173K lifetime
- 3Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$11−$485K lifetime
- 4BobbyBakedBeans41% won of 4,772 · noise$3+$25K lifetime
- 5saiwang202631% won of 203$2−$269 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in LA-03 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat?"?
24 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 24 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $1.2K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is GayPride, with $25 on it, $655K lifetime profit over 674 markets (80% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
48% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.