Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $23K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.0K by 46 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 17 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 78% 29 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 6 points.
Who holds it
46 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is randomaccount7, with $151 on it, $26K lifetime profit over 2 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is cowcat, with $1.1K on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won).
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $203
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $2.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$203 on it
- 1randomaccount750% won of 2$151+$26K lifetime
- 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$20−$485K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,322 · noise$11+$254K lifetime
- 4GUINESS12370% won of 547$4−$59K lifetime
- 5Majas29% won of 25,253$3−$25K lifetime
No$2.8K on it
- 1cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$1.1K+$72K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$399+$129K lifetime
- 30x97b457Ae08fc1041f3d5ca833a668B9471d5d794-178306672003635% won of 43$240−$230 lifetime
- 4HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$137+$179K lifetime
- 5arbdiscovery69% won of 39 · balanced$101+$542 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in KS-03 House Election Winner
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat?"?
46 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is randomaccount7, with $151 on it, $26K lifetime profit over 2 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is cowcat, with $1.1K on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.