Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 46 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $30K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 78 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 41% 38 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 40 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 82¢ and No at 18¢, an 82% implied chance of Yes. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
41% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 46 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 43 points. A week ago, No by 29 points.
Who holds it
78 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $2.7K on it, $433K lifetime loss over 12,109 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is BFBB, with $200 on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,028 markets (62% won).
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $10K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $828
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$10K on it
- 1Gaditima49% won of 12,109$2.7K−$433K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,306$2.1K−$51K lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$1.1K+$129K lifetime
- 4grinder101147% won of 519 · whale$1.1K+$11K lifetime
- 5arbdiscovery69% won of 39 · balanced$511+$542 lifetime
No$828 on it
- 1BFBB62% won of 1,028 · whale$200+$104K lifetime
- 2SingletonFamilyFund39% won of 314 · noise$180+$10K lifetime
- 3BigRabbit36% won of 1,102 · noise$180+$127K lifetime
- 4moonpupapollo75% won of 8$78−$589 lifetime
- 5thursdays62% won of 302 · whale$68+$10K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in IN-05 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?"?
78 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $2.7K on it, $433K lifetime loss over 12,109 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is BFBB, with $200 on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,028 markets (62% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 82¢ and No at 18¢, an 82% implied chance of Yes. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
41% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 46 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 43 points. A week ago, No by 29 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.