Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the IL-06 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 64% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $616 by 30 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 38% 14 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 64% 16 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
38% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.
Who holds it
30 wallets hold a position worth $616 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 30 of them. The largest Yes holder is thecaricature, with $10 on it, $7.9K lifetime loss over 717 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is K00ldr4g0n, with $137 on it, $136K lifetime profit over 593 markets (43% won).
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $31
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $586
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$31 on it
- 1thecaricature44% won of 717$10−$7.9K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,230 · noise$9+$254K lifetime
- 3lonehighway90% won of 203$7−$2.4K lifetime
- 40xa72b…1e5856% won of 34$1+$134 lifetime
- 5easy-going265% won of 202$1−$1.3K lifetime
No$586 on it
- 1K00ldr4g0n43% won of 593 · noise$137+$136K lifetime
- 2nugdealer97% won of 33$60+$11 lifetime
- 3IlyaJoePeach100% won of 154$54−$11 lifetime
- 4dmitryyyyy97% won of 30$51−$40 lifetime
- 5bogdanalu84% won of 43 · balanced$49+$1.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in IL-06 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the IL-06 House seat?"?
30 wallets hold a position worth $616 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 30 of them. The largest Yes holder is thecaricature, with $10 on it, $7.9K lifetime loss over 717 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is K00ldr4g0n, with $137 on it, $136K lifetime profit over 593 markets (43% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the IL-06 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
38% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.