Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the HI-02 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $38K traded all time
- Held now
- $10K by 29 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 92% 16 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $38K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
92% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
Who holds it
29 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 29 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $310 on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is MrNoItAll, with $9.3K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 514 markets (90% won).
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $404
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $10K
- Holders' win rate
- 88%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$404 on it
- 1ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$310+$2.3M lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$24+$129K lifetime
- 3planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$19+$132K lifetime
- 4Gaditima49% won of 12,111$17−$434K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$17+$254K lifetime
No$10K on it
- 1MrNoItAll90% won of 514 · whale$9.3K+$38K lifetime
- 2Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$378+$801K lifetime
- 3K00ldr4g0n42% won of 611 · noise$221+$134K lifetime
- 40x14117f3428c9Fc84b57cF7961b5e9E5F6Dce2410-177399462734967% won of 304 · balanced$64+$547 lifetime
- 5BenLaden1295% won of 22$57+$9 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in HI-02 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the HI-02 House seat?"?
29 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 29 of them. The largest Yes holder is ImJustKen, with $310 on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is MrNoItAll, with $9.3K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 514 markets (90% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the HI-02 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $38K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.