Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?”?

Politics$27K traded96 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
66%Yes
35%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 71% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$27K
traded all time
Held now
$5.8K
by 96 wallets
Smart share · Yes
59%
55 scored holders
Smart share · No
71%
41 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 66¢ and No at 35¢, a 66% implied chance of Yes. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

59% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 12 points.

Who holds it

96 wallets hold a position worth $5.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 96 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $937 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is MateisLostDog, with $508 on it, $49K lifetime profit over 486 markets (36% won).

Yes66%
Smart money share59% ▲ 5 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 61%a day ago 54%now 59%
Holders
55
Money on it
$4.5K
Holders' win rate
60%
No35%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share71% ▼ 2 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 73%a day ago 74%now 71%
Holders
41
Money on it
$1.4K
Holders' win rate
50%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$4.5K on it

  1. 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$937+$48K lifetime
  2. 2Seutervoinen82% won of 525 · whale$619+$127K lifetime
  3. 3purplegatto73% won of 3,495$411−$1.9M lifetime
  4. 40x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$369+$127K lifetime
  5. 5SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$262−$9.0K lifetime

No$1.4K on it

  1. 1MateisLostDog36% won of 486 · noise$508+$49K lifetime
  2. 2anoin12359% won of 1,608$304−$4.7M lifetime
  3. 3DirkDiggler6758% won of 1,069 · whale$191+$141K lifetime
  4. 4bernardbulletin75% won of 1,124 · whale$73+$198K lifetime
  5. 5GreatAgain2842% won of 362 · noise$47+$2.7K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

More markets in FL-27 House Election Winner

1 more
Who's betting on FL-27 House Election Winner →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?"?

96 wallets hold a position worth $5.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 96 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $937 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is MateisLostDog, with $508 on it, $49K lifetime profit over 486 markets (36% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 66¢ and No at 35¢, a 66% implied chance of Yes. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

59% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 12 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.