Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 80% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 34 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $49K traded all time
- Held now
- $10K by 113 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 46% 57 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 80% 56 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of No. $49K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
46% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 33 points.
Who holds it
113 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 113 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $1.3K on it, $433K lifetime loss over 12,109 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is twinna, with $2.5K on it, $69K lifetime profit over 212 markets (52% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $230 on Yes.
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $4.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Snipers
- 1 · $230
- Holders
- 56
- Money on it
- $6.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.3K on it
- 1Gaditima49% won of 12,109$1.3K−$433K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$663+$129K lifetime
- 3NotHarrisonHohman88% won of 8$550+$785 lifetime
- 4t0000000038% won of 239$276−$94K lifetime
- 5FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$230+$244K lifetime
No$6.1K on it
- 1twinna52% won of 212 · whale$2.5K+$69K lifetime
- 2flexibleagedbeef91% won of 11$1.4K+$2.3K lifetime
- 3wqeewqeadawfawfwa42% won of 1,925$366−$9.8K lifetime
- 4plsnothackme46% won of 334 · balanced$243+$2.3K lifetime
- 5donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$228+$829K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in FL-14 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?"?
113 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 113 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $1.3K on it, $433K lifetime loss over 12,109 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is twinna, with $2.5K on it, $69K lifetime profit over 212 markets (52% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of No. $49K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
46% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points. A week ago, No by 33 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.