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Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?”?

Politics$36K traded95 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
74%Yes
26%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 38 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$36K
traded all time
Held now
$6.9K
by 95 wallets
Smart share · Yes
43%
52 scored holders
Smart share · No
81%
43 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 74¢ and No at 26¢, a 74% implied chance of Yes. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

43% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 38 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 42 points. A week ago, No by 19 points.

Who holds it

95 wallets hold a position worth $6.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $1.6K on it, $434K lifetime loss over 12,111 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is cowcat, with $314 on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won).

Yes74%
Smart money share43%
7 days ago 58%a day ago 43%now 43%
Holders
52
Money on it
$5.7K
Holders' win rate
54%
No26%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share81% ▼ 3 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 77%a day ago 85%now 81%
Holders
43
Money on it
$1.2K
Holders' win rate
54%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$5.7K on it

  1. 1Gaditima49% won of 12,111$1.6K−$434K lifetime
  2. 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$795+$129K lifetime
  3. 3cigarettes46% won of 49,325$735−$53K lifetime
  4. 4HotDogs93% won of 617 · whale$467+$21K lifetime
  5. 50x295542613a56F22F0B726B1D26DC4Eaf681e0738-178090330758946% won of 250$358−$1.4K lifetime

No$1.2K on it

  1. 1cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$314+$72K lifetime
  2. 2lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$225+$1.2M lifetime
  3. 3anciano49% won of 1,323 · whale$176+$38K lifetime
  4. 4Poivre26% won of 357 · noise$78+$2.8K lifetime
  5. 5YungCapital100% won of 1$75−$33 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?"?

95 wallets hold a position worth $6.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $1.6K on it, $434K lifetime loss over 12,111 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is cowcat, with $314 on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 74¢ and No at 26¢, a 74% implied chance of Yes. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

43% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 38 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 42 points. A week ago, No by 19 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.