Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 16 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.9K by 58 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 99% 22 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 17 points.
Who holds it
58 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x7272c0D9478Ef6447f48A20a7Db2839A61A4a67d-1735227193318, with $472 on it, $20K lifetime profit over 112 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $2.8K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,117 markets (69% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $68 on Yes.
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 1 · $68
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $3.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.0K on it
- 10x7272c0D9478Ef6447f48A20a7Db2839A61A4a67d-173522719331873% won of 112 · balanced$472+$20K lifetime
- 20xe4C1E398aAa5C9E788abcD2EBf46069Eb226F022-177197471891179% won of 47 · balanced$115+$8.1K lifetime
- 3arbdiscovery69% won of 39 · balanced$76+$542 lifetime
- 4singularityman76% won of 360 · sniper$68+$78K lifetime
- 5macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$55−$8.2K lifetime
No$3.8K on it
- 1The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA69% won of 1,117 · whale$2.8K+$1.8M lifetime
- 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$657+$48K lifetime
- 3Seutervoinen82% won of 525 · whale$227+$127K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$60+$254K lifetime
- 5SeanEleven56% won of 375$30−$2.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in CO-08 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?"?
58 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x7272c0D9478Ef6447f48A20a7Db2839A61A4a67d-1735227193318, with $472 on it, $20K lifetime profit over 112 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $2.8K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,117 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.