Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the CA-50 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 77% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 19 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $31K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.8K by 34 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 58% 13 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 77% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
58% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 21 points. A week ago, No by 21 points.
Who holds it
34 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them. The largest Yes holder is GayPride, with $42 on it, $652K lifetime profit over 672 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is i2dt, with $729 on it, $17K lifetime profit over 353 markets (71% won).
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $103
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$103 on it
- 1GayPride80% won of 672 · whale$42+$652K lifetime
- 2Digital-Boy16% won of 2,187$25−$78K lifetime
- 3planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$10+$132K lifetime
- 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$9−$485K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$4+$254K lifetime
No$1.7K on it
- 1i2dt71% won of 353 · whale$729+$17K lifetime
- 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$149+$48K lifetime
- 30x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$97+$36K lifetime
- 4kethirchik84% won of 31 · balanced$65+$600 lifetime
- 5mumumur92% won of 25$60+$12 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in CA-50 House Election Winner
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the CA-50 House seat?"?
34 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them. The largest Yes holder is GayPride, with $42 on it, $652K lifetime profit over 672 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is i2dt, with $729 on it, $17K lifetime profit over 353 markets (71% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the CA-50 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
58% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 21 points. A week ago, No by 21 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.