Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the CA-39 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 39 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $171 by 15 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 11 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 43% 4 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 62 points.
Who holds it
15 wallets hold a position worth $171 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 15 of them. The largest Yes holder is cowcat, with $8 on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $77 on it, $51K lifetime loss over 49,310 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $35
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 4
- Money on it
- $137
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$35 on it
- 1cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$8+$72K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$7+$129K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,322 · noise$6+$254K lifetime
- 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$6−$485K lifetime
- 5hadarhaddad49% won of 946 · balanced$3+$2.6K lifetime
No$137 on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,310$77−$51K lifetime
- 2i2dt71% won of 356 · whale$40+$17K lifetime
- 31x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb940% won of 209,162 · noise$19+$6.8K lifetime
- 415rob46% won of 252 · noise$0+$3.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the CA-39 House seat?"?
15 wallets hold a position worth $171 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 15 of them. The largest Yes holder is cowcat, with $8 on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $77 on it, $51K lifetime loss over 49,310 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the CA-39 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 62 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.