Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 51 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $838 by 45 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 49% 35 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 10 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
49% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 52 points. A week ago, No by 43 points.
Who holds it
45 wallets hold a position worth $838 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $45 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is Seutervoinen, with $538 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 525 markets (82% won).
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $191
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $647
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$191 on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$45+$48K lifetime
- 2ABC1234565432148% won of 5,905$33−$1.2K lifetime
- 3Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$23−$485K lifetime
- 4macrosteaks64% won of 2,614$14−$8.2K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$9+$255K lifetime
No$647 on it
- 1Seutervoinen82% won of 525 · whale$538+$127K lifetime
- 2donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$86+$829K lifetime
- 3oliman264% won of 1,228 · whale$10+$106K lifetime
- 4KickstandBot36% won of 1,781 · noise$6+$3.0K lifetime
- 50xdfb81207AcC3ABAD7D04dA268D8B10b9CdB722c3-176274996110578% won of 201 · balanced$5+$131 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in CA-13 House Election Winner
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat?"?
45 wallets hold a position worth $838 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $45 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is Seutervoinen, with $538 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 525 markets (82% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
49% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 52 points. A week ago, No by 43 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.