Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the CA-12 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 49 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $21K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.1K by 29 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 51% 24 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 5 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
51% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points. A week ago, No by 69 points.
Who holds it
29 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 29 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $4 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 15,917 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is byu5, with $1.8K on it, $52 lifetime profit.
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $17
- Holders' win rate
- 36%
- Holders
- 5
- Money on it
- $2.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 26%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$17 on it
- 1LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$4+$28K lifetime
- 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$2−$485K lifetime
- 3thecaricature44% won of 717$2−$7.9K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$2+$254K lifetime
- 5crossFiter54% won of 7,777 · balanced$1+$362 lifetime
No$2.1K on it
- 1byu5no record yet$1.8K+$52 lifetime
- 20x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$249+$36K lifetime
- 3immanuelcan78% won of 1,011 · whale$50+$39K lifetime
- 4FrankyFourFingers69% won of 264$1−$7.0K lifetime
- 5Istaroth46% won of 35,256$0−$769K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in CA-12 House Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the CA-12 House seat?"?
29 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 29 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $4 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 15,917 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is byu5, with $1.8K on it, $52 lifetime profit.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the CA-12 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
51% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points. A week ago, No by 69 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.