Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the CA-03 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 68% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 62 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $181 by 21 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 68% 17 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 6% 4 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
68% of the money on Yes and 6% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 62 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 62 points. A week ago, Yes by 62 points.
Who holds it
21 wallets hold a position worth $181 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 21 of them. The largest Yes holder is cowcat, with $22 on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is FrankyFourFingers, with $58 on it, $7.0K lifetime loss over 264 markets (69% won).
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $98
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 4
- Money on it
- $82
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$98 on it
- 1cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$22+$72K lifetime
- 2HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$22+$325K lifetime
- 30x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$22−$8.4K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 16,132 · noise$9+$28K lifetime
- 5lolzzzlol19% won of 45,352$8−$99K lifetime
No$82 on it
- 1FrankyFourFingers69% won of 264$58−$7.0K lifetime
- 2pinner38% won of 1,101$19−$9.6K lifetime
- 315rob46% won of 252 · noise$5+$3.2K lifetime
- 4177146732926220% won of 200$1−$190 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the CA-03 House seat?"?
21 wallets hold a position worth $181 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 21 of them. The largest Yes holder is cowcat, with $22 on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is FrankyFourFingers, with $58 on it, $7.0K lifetime loss over 264 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the CA-03 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
68% of the money on Yes and 6% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 62 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 62 points. A week ago, Yes by 62 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.