Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?”?
Smart money leans No: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 32 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.9K by 87 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 55% 39 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 87% 48 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 68¢ and No at 33¢, a 68% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
55% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 26 points.
Who holds it
87 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $416 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is Contestable-Parfait, with $65 on it, $173K lifetime profit over 345 markets (61% won).
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $346
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.5K on it
- 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$416+$127K lifetime
- 2Gaditima49% won of 12,105$292−$433K lifetime
- 3GUINESS12370% won of 547$265−$59K lifetime
- 4Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,906 · whale$259+$163K lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 49,094$227−$48K lifetime
No$346 on it
- 1Contestable-Parfait61% won of 345 · whale$65+$173K lifetime
- 2keepingitral61% won of 237 · balanced$65+$844 lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,235 · noise$65+$255K lifetime
- 4i2dt71% won of 353 · whale$26+$17K lifetime
- 5cryptoqan0n74% won of 5,783$20−$7.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in AZ-02 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?"?
87 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $416 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is Contestable-Parfait, with $65 on it, $173K lifetime profit over 345 markets (61% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 68¢ and No at 33¢, a 68% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
55% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 26 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.