Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $865 by 37 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 26 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 11 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points.
Who holds it
37 wallets hold a position worth $865 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $96 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,235 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is keepingitral, with $536 on it, $844 lifetime profit over 237 markets (61% won).
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $284
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $581
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$284 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,235 · noise$96+$255K lifetime
- 2rocky4200152% won of 809 · whale$58+$925 lifetime
- 3fkpa82% won of 342 · balanced$26+$42K lifetime
- 4anoin12359% won of 1,608$21−$4.7M lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,840 · noise$16+$27K lifetime
No$581 on it
- 1keepingitral61% won of 237 · balanced$536+$844 lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$26−$377K lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$10+$127K lifetime
- 40xaF05465D8f88a8Aad0BD916d23fA781BaA8a33E2-178176949978895% won of 1,703 · balanced$4+$1.1K lifetime
- 50x4629…f3b184% won of 3,130$3−$6.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
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- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?"?
37 wallets hold a position worth $865 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $96 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,235 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is keepingitral, with $536 on it, $844 lifetime profit over 237 markets (61% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.