Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?”?
Smart money leans No: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $679 by 31 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 57% 21 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 84% 10 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
57% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points.
Who holds it
31 wallets hold a position worth $679 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 31 of them. The largest Yes holder is shiifoo, with $73 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 4,735 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is AnonymousUsername, with $248 on it, $422K lifetime profit over 5,841 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $228
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $451
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$228 on it
- 1shiifoo52% won of 4,735 · whale$73+$46K lifetime
- 2blkcarib202065% won of 17$65−$174 lifetime
- 3K80PRO56% won of 901$29−$577 lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,235 · noise$24+$255K lifetime
- 5e46m347% won of 87,774 · whale$17+$964K lifetime
No$451 on it
- 1AnonymousUsername70% won of 5,841 · whale$248+$422K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$123+$127K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,094$51−$48K lifetime
- 4etghzcer99% won of 339$15−$184 lifetime
- 5sadfsadf43% won of 9,058 · balanced$8+$48 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?"?
31 wallets hold a position worth $679 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 31 of them. The largest Yes holder is shiifoo, with $73 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 4,735 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is AnonymousUsername, with $248 on it, $422K lifetime profit over 5,841 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
57% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.