Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 25%-30%?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.5K by 36 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 15 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
36 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is 74-75, with $408 on it, $3.0K lifetime loss over 96 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $690 on it, $381K lifetime loss over 56,029 markets (50% won).
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $465
- Holders' win rate
- 42%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$465 on it
- 174-7542% won of 96$408−$3.0K lifetime
- 2LornaPredicts28% won of 16,833 · noise$21+$27K lifetime
- 3planktonXD76% won of 6,484 · whale$11+$133K lifetime
- 4romanew-crypto69% won of 1,395 · balanced$9+$2.0K lifetime
- 5pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,900$9−$320K lifetime
No$1.0K on it
- 1Haradwaith50% won of 56,029$690−$381K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 129,155 · noise$105+$269K lifetime
- 3rocky4200552% won of 975$85−$4.2K lifetime
- 4lexet66% won of 258$35−$3 lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 50,213$31−$52K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 25%-30%?"?
36 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is 74-75, with $408 on it, $3.0K lifetime loss over 96 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $690 on it, $381K lifetime loss over 56,029 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 25%-30%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.