Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 40%-45%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 80 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.7K by 39 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 95% 26 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 15% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
95% of the money on Yes and 15% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 80 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 73 points.
Who holds it
39 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhl, with $482 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $775 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $608
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$608 on it
- 10xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhl80% won of 1,104 · balanced$482+$28K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,322 · noise$25+$254K lifetime
- 3sweetj64% won of 487 · whale$17+$11K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,967 · noise$15+$28K lifetime
- 574-7541% won of 94$13−$2.5K lifetime
No$1.1K on it
- 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$775−$4.7M lifetime
- 20x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-179244949675485% won of 13$134+$8.7K lifetime
- 3K80PRO56% won of 908$95−$347 lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,310$47−$51K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$27−$378K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 40%-45%?"?
39 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhl, with $482 on it, $28K lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $775 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 40%-45%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
95% of the money on Yes and 15% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 80 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 73 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.