Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 0%-5%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 28 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $806 by 19 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 100% 8 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 72% 11 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 38¢ and No at 63¢, a 63% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
100% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points.
Who holds it
19 wallets hold a position worth $806 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 19 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $180 on it, $129K lifetime profit over 9,933 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is AnonymousUsername, with $219 on it, $393K lifetime profit over 5,861 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 8
- Money on it
- $432
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $374
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$432 on it
- 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$180+$129K lifetime
- 2johnnath122249% won of 252 · whale$125+$4.1K lifetime
- 3autisem68% won of 279 · whale$104+$2.8K lifetime
- 4ImNotBetting22% won of 508 · noise$22+$1.3K lifetime
- 5cmnd7w39% won of 3,945$0−$5.1K lifetime
No$374 on it
- 1AnonymousUsername70% won of 5,861 · whale$219+$393K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$70−$378K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$31+$254K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,301$25−$52K lifetime
- 5PPMT70% won of 56,842 · whale$19+$16K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 0%-5%?"?
19 wallets hold a position worth $806 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 19 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $180 on it, $129K lifetime profit over 9,933 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is AnonymousUsername, with $219 on it, $393K lifetime profit over 5,861 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 0%-5%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 38¢ and No at 63¢, a 63% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
100% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.