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Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?”?

Politics$12K traded39 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
20%Yes🧠 smart money
81%No

Smart money leans Yes: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$12K
traded all time
Held now
$3.0K
by 39 wallets
Smart share · Yes
98%
24 scored holders
Smart share · No
60%
15 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 20¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

98% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points.

Who holds it

39 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is CDReves, with $176 on it, $3.5K lifetime profit over 232 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $1.3K on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won).

Yes20%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share98%
Holders
24
Money on it
$806
Holders' win rate
49%
No81%
Smart money share60%
Holders
15
Money on it
$2.2K
Holders' win rate
45%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$806 on it

  1. 1CDReves60% won of 232 · balanced$176+$3.5K lifetime
  2. 2twinna52% won of 212 · whale$163+$69K lifetime
  3. 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$132+$255K lifetime
  4. 4SingletonFamilyFund39% won of 314 · noise$98+$10K lifetime
  5. 5shiifoo53% won of 4,744 · whale$64+$46K lifetime

No$2.2K on it

  1. 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$1.3K+$127K lifetime
  2. 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$594−$377K lifetime
  3. 3K80PRO56% won of 904$81−$466 lifetime
  4. 4JsonStatham45% won of 34,820$79−$32K lifetime
  5. 5cigarettes46% won of 49,298$48−$52K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?"?

39 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is CDReves, with $176 on it, $3.5K lifetime profit over 232 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $1.3K on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 20¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

98% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.