Who's betting on “Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 62 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.9K by 72 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 90% 39 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 28% 33 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 73¢ and No at 28¢, a 73% implied chance of Yes. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
The smart money
90% of the money on Yes and 28% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 62 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 62 points. A week ago, Yes by 70 points.
Who holds it
72 wallets hold a position worth $9.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is flovertaco, with $2.3K on it, $24K lifetime profit over 294 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is CloudCactus, with $921 on it, $31K lifetime loss over 209 markets (88% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $360 on Yes.
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $7.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 1 · $360
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $2.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$7.1K on it
- 1flovertaco59% won of 294 · whale$2.3K+$24K lifetime
- 2gengui61% won of 46 · balanced$1.8K+$2.0K lifetime
- 3EsperanzasDESTROYER75% won of 204 · balanced$521+$38K lifetime
- 4thurrb67% won of 3$508+$72 lifetime
- 5TheOne77793% won of 381 · sniper$360+$16K lifetime
No$2.7K on it
- 1CloudCactus88% won of 209$921−$31K lifetime
- 2Mezcal88883% won of 6$509−$353 lifetime
- 30xFA39Dc56189a5e09dfCe16eFe8541B77423C1F40-176408558719433% won of 27 · noise$386+$21 lifetime
- 40x79c79e8dA27C6F8293588cD67Bd20BB368aB80f0-1779902731447no record yet$256+$0 lifetime
- 5DuneMentat74% won of 841$119−$12K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?"?
72 wallets hold a position worth $9.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is flovertaco, with $2.3K on it, $24K lifetime profit over 294 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is CloudCactus, with $921 on it, $31K lifetime loss over 209 markets (88% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 73¢ and No at 28¢, a 73% implied chance of Yes. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
90% of the money on Yes and 28% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 62 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 62 points. A week ago, Yes by 70 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.