Who's betting on “Will the next elected US president be a woman?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.4K by 69 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 62% 43 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 57% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
The smart money
62% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
69 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 69 of them. The largest Yes holder is machbut, with $124 on it, $16K lifetime profit over 39 markets (54% won). The largest No holder is super-token-link, with $318 on it, $1.5K lifetime loss over 84 markets (60% won).
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $427
- Holders' win rate
- 42%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$427 on it
- 1machbut54% won of 39 · noise$124+$16K lifetime
- 20xdd58…caec0% won of 6$87−$43 lifetime
- 3Car58% won of 1,784 · whale$46+$1.5M lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$36+$255K lifetime
- 5POB-T40% won of 3,853$14−$13K lifetime
No$1.9K on it
- 1super-token-link60% won of 84$318−$1.5K lifetime
- 20xa214B50909D727423Afd013a438A29C08B070E25-1720895894273100% won of 3$306−$21 lifetime
- 3tnl53% won of 1,112 · whale$293+$21K lifetime
- 40x99Df62d756AF61593fb63c052C62EdF3e0139639-177000503094760% won of 10$284+$75 lifetime
- 5smalle83% won of 24 · balanced$209+$894 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next elected US president be a woman?"?
69 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 69 of them. The largest Yes holder is machbut, with $124 on it, $16K lifetime profit over 39 markets (54% won). The largest No holder is super-token-link, with $318 on it, $1.5K lifetime loss over 84 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next elected US president be a woman?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
62% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.